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Investigating Geopolitical Impact on Prices | Cindicator Insight Challenge

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In case you don't know me, I am a Hong Kong-based trader who trades upon the influence of geopolitical events on the financial market for a living. Not your typical technical analysis, nor your typical fundamental analysis. Normally I am quite successful in predicting the outcomes of events and thus the direction(s) of market movements, but I never bothered with estimating magnitude - until Cindicator (CND).

Cindicator is a fintech company that uses Hybrid Intelligence, that is combining human input and A.I., to predict market movements. As an analyst with Cindicator, which you can sign up for free, you get a share of a monthly reward when you make accurate forecasts. This month, the shared bonus is 1.25BTC for crypto forecast and US$7,500 for traditional market.

With Cindicator (and their incentives), now I got an excuse a reason to hone in on my magnitude-estimation skill whereas normally I'd hold an instrument for a certain period of time and then I'd liquidate it rega…

Turkey Coup Aftermath

Conspiracy theories have been cropping up all over that the recent military coup in Turkey might have been staged by President Erdoğan and/or his allies. It is foregone conclusion that they are capable of such acts. They started the current war on Kurds for suppressing their protest against an ISIL attack in Suruç that killed 33 Kurds, just to force their votes during the 2015 re-election. Further back you have the Ergenekon and Balyoz plots, false flag operations that devastated the military command with the possible involvement of Gülenist - former ally of President Erdoğan, also recently a "terrorist group" as designated by the Turkish government... that promotes peace and democracy. Whether the Turkish government staged the coup or not is of little relevance now. What matters is the immediate repercussions that would impact the lives of Turks, especially their elites, now that the coup has failed. Within hours of the coup, 2,745 judges have been dismisses and hundreds ar…

Bet on Greece

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The Greek people voted overwhelming #OXI in their #Greferendum.  Unlike what the big banks and EU leaders have been telling you, Grexit is impossible.
The EU architects won't let it happen.The Greek debt really isn't sustainable even with reforms, according to IMF's report.ECB turning off ELA causing financial collapse in Greece will be a PR disaster.Lastly, just look at the map:

My predictions:
Preliminary bailout agreement within 72 hours.Banks reopen before next Monday.PMI 60+ in the following months.GDP growth 10+% next year.